Dr Stephen Kelly
Biography
My expertise includes using Lagrangian particle tracking methods to analyse circulation connectivity between different regions. I have previously applied this approach to understand trans-Arctic ecological connectivity (e.g. Kelly et al., 2020), and I am currently working on using similar techniques to understand the potential impact of marine carbon dioxide removal efforts.
For an up to date list of my publications, please see my ORCiD profile.
Projects
Publications
Painter, S. C. 
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7934-7346; García‐Martín, E. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4807-3287; Feltham, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9964-9170; Muliawan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7702-0411; Mawji, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9860-1351; Peel, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2701-466X; Kelly, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8966-5986; Flohr, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5018-5379; Hartman, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6363-1331; Gates, A. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2798-5044.
2026
Anomalously low new production in the Northeast Atlantic during spring 2024: A consequence of weaker winter mixing?
Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 131 (2).
10.1029/2025JC023249
2026
Article
Kelly, Stephen ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8966-5986; Popova, Ekaterina ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2012-708X; Yool, Andrew ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9879-2776; Jebri, Fatma ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7048-0068; Oliver, Sophy ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7217-1755; Srokosz, Meric ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7347-7411.
2025
Abrupt changes in the timing and magnitude of the North Atlantic bloom over the 21st century.
Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 130 (3).
10.1029/2024JC022284
2025
Article
Warmuth, Laura M ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5448-4552; Kelly, Stephen ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8966-5986; Samoilys, Melita A ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1933-357X; Popova, Ekaterina ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2012-708X; Head, Catherine E I ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5145-1632; Bonsall, Michael B ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0250-0423.
2024
Environmental change and connectivity drive coral reef fish abundance in the Western Indian Ocean.
ICES Journal of Marine Science, 81 (9).
1785-1795.
10.1093/icesjms/fsae125
2024
Article
Jacobs, Zoe ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7348-0699; Kelly, Stephen; Jebri, Fatma ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7048-0068; Roberts, Michael; Srokosz, Meric ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7347-7411; Sauer, Warwick; Hancke, Lisa; Popova, Ekaterina ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2012-708X.
2022
Retention properties of the Agulhas bank and their relevance to the chokka squid life cycle.
Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography, 202, 105151.
10.1016/j.dsr2.2022.105151
2022
Article
Jacobs, Zoe ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7348-0699; Roberts, Mike; Jebri, Fatma ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7048-0068; Srokosz, Meric ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7347-7411; Kelly, Stephen; Sauer, Warwick; Bruggeman, Jorn; Popova, Ekaterina ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2012-708X.
2022
Drivers of productivity on the Agulhas Bank and the importance for marine ecosystems.
Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography, 199, 105080.
10.1016/j.dsr2.2022.105080
2022
Article
Wilson, Chris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0891-2912; Aksenov, Yevgeny ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6132-3434; Rynders, Stefanie ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1334-4577; Kelly, Stephen J.; Krumpen, Thomas; Coward, Andrew C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9111-7700.
2021
Significant variability of structure and predictability of Arctic Ocean surface pathways affects basin-wide connectivity.
Communications Earth & Environment, 2 (1).
10.1038/s43247-021-00237-0
2021
Article
Taylor, Sarah F.W.; Aswani, Shankar; Jiddawi, Narriman; Coupland, Jack; James, Phillip A.S.; Kelly, Stephen; Kizenga, Hellen; Roberts, Michael; Popova, Ekaterina ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2012-708X.
2021
The complex relationship between asset wealth, adaptation, and diversification in tropical fisheries.
Ocean & Coastal Management, 212, 105808.
10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2021.105808
2021
Article
Mutia, Damaris; Carpenter, Stephen ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5707-1465; Jacobs, Zoe ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7348-0699; Jebri, Fatma ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7048-0068; Kamau, Joseph; Kelly, Stephen J.; Kimeli, Amon; Langat, Philip Kibet; Makori, Amina; Nencioli, Francesco; Painter, Stuart C.; Popova, Ekaterina ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2012-708X; Raitsos, Dionysios; Roberts, Michael.
2021
Productivity driven by Tana river discharge is spatially limited in Kenyan coastal waters.
Ocean & Coastal Management, 211, 105713.
10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2021.105713
2021
Article
Kamau, Joseph N.; Jacobs, Zoe L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7348-0699; Jebri, Fatma ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7048-0068; Kelly, Stephen; Kimani, Edward; Makori, Amina; Mwaluma, James; Mueni, Elizabeth; Ong'anda, Harrison; Palmer, Matthew R.; Popova, Ekaterina ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2012-708X; Roberts, Michael J.; Taylor, Sarah F.W.; Wihsgott, Juliane U. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7909-0007; Painter, Stuart C..
2021
Managing emerging fisheries of the North Kenya Banks in the context of environmental change.
Ocean & Coastal Management, 209, 105671.
10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2021.105671
2021
Article
Jacobs, Z.L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7348-0699; Yool, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9879-2776; Jebri, F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7048-0068; Srokosz, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7347-7411; van Gennip, S.; Kelly, S.J.; Roberts, M.; Sauer, W.; Queirós, A.M.; Osuka, K.E.; Samoilys, M.; Becker, A.E.; Popova, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2012-708X.
2021
Key climate change stressors of marine ecosystems along the path of the east african coastal current.
Ocean & Coastal Management, 208, 105627.
10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2021.105627
2021
Article
Kelly, Stephen; Popova, Ekaterina ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2012-708X; Jacobs, Zoe ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7348-0699.
2021
Why does Western Indian Ocean circulation connectivity matter?
In: EGU General Assembly 2021, Online, 19-30 April 2021.
2021
Conference item
Sekadende, Baraka; Scott, Lucy; Anderson, Jim; Aswani, Shankar; Francis, Julius; Jacobs, Zoe ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7348-0699; Jebri, Fatma ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7048-0068; Jiddawi, Narriman; Kamukuru, Albogast T.; Kelly, Stephen; Kizenga, Hellen; Kuguru, Baraka; Kyewalyanga, Margareth; Noyon, Margaux; Nyandwi, Ntahondi; Painter, Stuart C.; Palmer, Matthew; Raitsos, Dionysios E.; Roberts, Michael; Sailley, Sévrine F.; Samoilys, Melita; Sauer, Warwick H.H.; Shayo, Salome; Shaghude, Yohana; Taylor, Sarah F.W.; Wihsgott, Juliane ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7909-0007; Popova, Ekaterina ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2012-708X.
2020
The small pelagic fishery of the Pemba Channel, Tanzania: What we know and what we need to know for management under climate change.
Ocean & Coastal Management, 197, 105322.
10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2020.105322
2020
Article
Luneva, Maria V.; Ivanov, Vladimir V.; Tuzov, Fedor; Aksenov, Yevgeny ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6132-3434; Harle, James D.; Kelly, Stephen; Holt, Jason T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3298-8477.
2020
Hotspots of dense water cascading in the Arctic Ocean: Implications for the Pacific water pathways.
Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 125 (10), e2020JC016044.
10.1029/2020JC016044
2020
Article
Jebri, Fatma ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7048-0068; Jacobs, Zoe L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7348-0699; Raitsos, Dionysios E.; Srokosz, Meric ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7347-7411; Painter, Stuart C.; Kelly, Stephen; Roberts, Michael J.; Scott, Lucy; Taylor, Sarah F. W.; Palmer, Matthew; Kizenga, Hellen; Shaghude, Yohana; Wihsgott, Juliane ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7909-0007; Popova, Ekaterina ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2012-708X.
2020
Interannual monsoon wind variability as a key driver of East African small pelagic fisheries.
Scientific Reports, 10 (1), 13247.
10.1038/s41598-020-70275-9
2020
Article
Kelly, S. J.; Popova, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2012-708X; Aksenov, Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6132-3434; Marsh, R.; Yool, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9879-2776.
2020
They came from the Pacific: How changing arctic currents could contribute to an ecological regime shift in the Atlantic Ocean.
Earth's Future, 8 (4).
10.1029/2019EF001394
2020
Article
Popova, Ekaterina ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2012-708X; Vousden, David; Sauer, Warwick H.H.; Mohammed, Essam Y.; Allain, Valerie; Downey-Breedt, Nicola; Fletcher, Ruth; Gjerde, Kristina M.; Halpin, Patrick N.; Kelly, Stephen; Obura, David; Pecl, Gretta; Roberts, Michael; Raitsos, Dionysios E.; Rogers, Alex; Samoilys, Melita; Sumaila, Ussif Rashid; Tracey, Sean; Yool, Andrew ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9879-2776.
2019
Ecological connectivity between the areas beyond national jurisdiction and coastal waters: Safeguarding interests of coastal communities in developing countries.
Marine Policy, 104.
90-102.
10.1016/j.marpol.2019.02.050
2019
Article
Kelly, S. J.; Proshutinsky, A.; Popova, E. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2012-708X; Aksenov, Y. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6132-3434; Yool, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9879-2776.
2019
On the origin of water masses in the Beaufort Gyre.
Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 124 (7).
4696-4709.
10.1029/2019JC015022
2019
Article